
Texas electricity
ERCOT recently warned that a shortfall in the amount of electricity needed to support Texas electricity consumers in times of highest demand is likely. There are two trends leading to the anticipated troubles of the grid. There are multiple electricity plants that will be closing down in the near future and still others who will be delayed in coming online for the first time. The demand-side, on the other hand, will continue to increase particularly if the Texas economy continues to improve.
Texas consumers have already felt the impact of a loss in electricity capacity. In 2011 some 6 MW of electricity capacity was lost due to plant closings. The result was rolling blackouts in February. The problem was made worse when freezing temperatures caused mechanical failure at several power stations. Texas had to take the unusual step of importing electricity from the Mexican electricity grid.
ERCOT has taken steps to try to prevent a repeat of February 2011 when the grid was unable to meet demand and was forced to implement targeted blackouts. Working with the PUC they are seeking to update rules to allow for greater participation of contingent electricity sources in the event of an electricity demand emergency.
ERCOT is so concerned about the capability of the electricity system in Texas to handle peak demand that they have taken some unusual steps. They have approached the state’s transmission operators and asked for a thorough top-down review of current projects that are expected to be plugged into the grid over the next year. They need to have assurances that the assumed completion dates for projects that will begin feeding the grid are accurate. ERCOT’s chief executive cited new EPA rules among other factors as reasons why there is no margin of error when it comes to planning out the available capacity of the grid over the coming year.
ERCOT is being squeezed from all directions right now. The Texas electricity grid is being impacted by unusual weather conditions, new EPA rules, and a challenging economic background. 2011 will be remembered in Texas for weather extremes the likes of which have not been seen in living memory. Weather challenges faced by the Texas electricity grid started early in the year as February saw an ice storm that effectively shut down transportation and kept Texans in their homes where they switched on their heaters and demanded record electricity output from the grid. The record demand along with weather-related failures at certain key points in the power generation infrastructure forced ERCOT to implement controlled blackouts.
The pressure on the gird didn’t let up as the summer brought a near record string of 100 degree days. Once more, the Texas electric system skirted on the edge of capacity. In addition to the extreme temperatures, 2011 is also notable for the continuation of an historic drought in Texas as wells as unrelenting wildfires.
The troubles brought about by this unprecedented string of weather hardships are only compounded by the impact of EPA rules that have recently been announced. Many electricity plants will be closed down because the operators will not find it economically viable to update them to meet the new EPA rules. As the electricity grid struggles to meet demand these otherwise operational plants will be going dark. This is far from just a Texas problem. Concerns about how the rules will affect the reliability of the North American grid are being raised by the very group who is in charge of maintaining the reliability of the grid, NERC. The logistics of closing down many hundreds of plants even temporarily over a short time span are problematic.